Coolers, Part II

I played a very, very LAG style this morning / afternoon - came out barely up ($1); still experimenting with this as I always thought of myself as rather TAG. This evening, though, I made a few too many loose calls, and got severely coolered. Not sure if I made the right call here; I would've bet anything I was good.

*** HOLE CARDS ***
UTG folds
UTG+1 calls $0.10
UTG+2 folds
cut off calls $0.10
gsw61515 raises to $0.45 with Qs Qd
SB folds
BB calls $0.35
UTG+1 calls $0.35
cut off folds

*** FLOP *** [4s 7d 6h]
BB bets $0.50
UTG+1 calls $0.50
gsw61515 has 15 seconds left to act
gsw61515 raises to $2.50 <-- probably ahead here, get more $$ in the pot
BB folds
UTG+1 has 15 seconds left to act
UTG+1 raises to $7.70, and is all in <-- overbetting the nuts? pushing out a draw?
gsw61515 has 15 seconds left to act

This is where I'm not sure if I made the right move. I was fairly certain I was ahead, and I'd seen so many people over the past few days shove all-in on a draw. Of course, I'd also seen a few people shove with the nuts (read a bunch of stuff on 2+2 about overbetting for value when you have the nuts), but I'd seen many more shove draws.

What beats me right now? AA, KK, 44, 66, 77, 46. 47. 67. 35. 58. What type of hand is he liable to have limp/called a raise with? Possibly 44, 66, 77 - I can't see any of the others; AA and KK 98% of the time are raising hands (or possibly limp/re-raise pre). So it's true I may be up against a set. More likely, IMHO, is a hand like A5s -- the soooted doesn't come into play now, but that's a hand that I could see limp/calling.

In the end, I go with my gut, that I'm ahead here, and hope I don't get drawn out on. If it is A5, then I need to dodge 11 outs - ugh. That would put me at about a 55-45 favorite. I need to call an additional $5.20 to win $10.55; someone help me out - if I'm a 55-45 favorite, is this a good price?

gsw61515 calls $5.20
UTG+1 shows [8c 9s] <--- sweet! only 8 outs!
gsw61515 shows [Qs Qd]

(Two dimes has me at a 65-35 favorite)

*** TURN *** [4s 7d 6h] [5d] <-- ugh, drawing dead

*** RIVER *** [4s 7d 6h 5d] [4d]

UTG+1 shows a straight, Nine high
gsw61515 shows two pair, Queens and Fours
UTG+1 wins the pot ($15.70) with a straight, Nine high


I made some bad calls before this, too, so I was pretty stuck. Nice thing, though, over the next hour I got myself almost entirely unstuck for the day (down two bucks, after being down almost $15), so I felt great about how I played.